Toronto Blue Jays at Kansas City Royals odds, picks and predictions
The Kansas City Royals (13-10) welcome the Toronto Blue Jays (13-10) to Kauffman Stadium Tuesday. First pitch in the 2nd game of the 4-game series is set for 7:40 p.m. ET. Let's analyze FanDuel Sportsbook's lines around the Blue Jays vs. Royalsodds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Blue Jays lead 1-0
The Royals lost 5-3 to the Blue Jays in the series opener Monday, closing as +108 underdogs. They have lost 3 in a row, dropping 2 of 3 to the Baltimore Orioles in the prior series. Kansas City won 8 of its 1st 10 at home and is 9-5 at Kauffman Stadium this season.
The Blue Jays, after starting their season 4-6, have turned things around, winning 3 of their last 4 and 7 of their last 9. They are coming off a series against the San Diego Padres, winning 2 of 3 on the road. Toronto is 7-7 straight up on the road this season.
Blue Jays at Royals projected starters
RHP Kevin Gausman vs. RHP Michael Wacha
Gausman (0-2, 8.16 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 1.74 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 10 K/9 in 14 1/3 innings.
- Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 3 BB, 6 K in 6-4 loss vs. New York Yankees Wednesday
- 2024 road splits: 0-1, 7.27 ERA (8 2/3 IP, 0 ER), 14 H, 3 BB, 7 K, .513 opponent's slugging percentage (SLG) in 2 starts
Wacha (1-2, 3.75 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 1.04 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 7.9 K/9 in 24 innings.
- Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 4 K in 2-1 loss at Chicago White Sox Wednesday
- 2024 home stats: Win, 7 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 1 BB, 8 K in 1 start, a 3-0 victory vs. White Sox April 6
- 2023 home splits: 10-3, 2.62 ERA (79 IP, 23 ER -- 8 HR), 66 H, 24 BB, 79 K in 14 starts
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Blue Jays at Royals odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Blue Jays -122 (bet $122 to win $100) | Royals +104 (bet $100 to win $104)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Blue Jays -1.5 (+136) | Royals +1.5 (-164)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: +100 | U: -122)
Blue Jays at Royals picks and predictions
Prediction
Royals 5, Blue Jays 4
Moneyline
BET ROYALS (+104).
Kansas City is 7-7 straight up as an underdog, which is the 11th-best underdog record in MLB. It is also 5-4 straight up as a home underdog, which sits as the 6th-best win record in that situation.
The Royals have struggled as of late, but they have allowed just 14 runs in the 4 starts by Wacha this season. The Blue Jays have allowed 27 runs in Gausman's 4 starts. Toronto has given up at least 6 runs in 9 of its 23 games and has struggled defensively.
Given the price on the Kansas City moneyline, back ROYALS (+104).
Run line/Against the spread
PASS.
There's just not much value here. The Blue Jays are too risky as favorites, while the Royals are far too expensive as run-line underdogs. Ultimately, play the moneyline here regardless.
Over/Under
LEAN OVER 8.5 (+100).
The Blue Jays have scored at least 4 runs in 5 of their last 6 games and at least 5 runs in 4 of those. They have gone Over in 3 of their last 6 as well. They are 4-0 O/U in Gausman's starts.
The Royals might be just 8-14-1 O/U on the season, but they have allowed at least 5 runs in 3 straight games and scored 7 or more in 2 of their last 4. They are 2-2 O/U in their last 4.
Back OVER 8.5 (+100).
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